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Tracking the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, member sentiment, and market probabilities.

Market Probability

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CutHoldHike90%10%
Market leans Cut

Current Target Rate

3.75% - 4.00%

Updated Dec 3, 4:14 PM

Next Meeting

4days

December 9-10, 2025

Previous Meetings

Oct: 3.75% - 4.00% (10-2)

Sep: 4.00% - 4.25% (11-1)

Jul: 4.25% - 4.50% (9-2)

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This is an independent research project and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Open Market Committee, any government agency, or any financial institution. All information is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Email contact@fomc.info.